California Foreclosure Auctions Soar In January

As many as 80 percent of defaulting homeowners may lose their home at auction

Discovery Bay, CA, February 15, 2008 - ForeclosureRadar, the only website that tracks every California foreclosure with daily auction updates, today issued its monthly California Foreclosure Report.

The number of properties sold at foreclosure auction jumped by 55 percent in January to a total of 19,821, with a combined loan value of $8.06 Billion. Compared to the same period one year ago, this represents a staggering 454 percent increase.

Notices of Defaults recorded in January numbered 38,617, up 16.4 percent from 32,948 in December, 2007. This increase follows a 45.1 percent increase from November to December. With a minimum of roughly four months between recording of a Notice of Default and the property being sold at auction, the recent increases in defaults clearly indicate that auction sales are likely to also increase further in the coming months. By comparing January sales to defaults four months ago, it appears that as many as 80 percent of defaulting homeowners may now lose their home at auction.

"We are the only source for same-day auction results," said Sean O'Toole, founder of ForeclosureRadar. "The auction sales are a far more accurate indicator of the foreclosure problem. Defaults have not risen nearly as rapidly as auction sales. While certainly more homeowners are getting into trouble, the far larger issue is that fewer homeowners are able to get out of foreclosure than ever before."

Homeowners aren't the only party to foreclosure under pressure. This month 98 percent of auction sales went back to the lender after receiving no bids, despite the significant discounts now being offered by lenders at auction. Out of the 19,821 homes that went to auction, 13,950 were discounted, with an average opening bid discount of 16 percent. Of that, 4,624 had discounts of 30 percent or more. The majority of these discounts are from the amount owed on an 80 percent first mortgage made in the last 2 to 3 years, meaning that many of these properties are being offered at 50 to 70 percent of their prior value.

At the county level, notable month over month increases in activity were widespread, with the majority of counties seeing increases in auction sales of 50 percent of more.

ForeclosureRadar January Report by County
Rank Change In Rank County NDF NTS Sales Population
Per Sale
% Change
Nov 2007
% Change
Dec 2006
1 3 SAN JOAQUIN COUNTY 1507 1023 1000 666 85% 700%
2 -1 RIVERSIDE COUNTY 5372 2858 2813 694 53% 475%
3 2 STANISLAUS COUNTY 1074 727 624 824 64% 609%
4 2 SACRAMENTO COUNTY 2298 1790 1628 851 67% 380%
5 2 YUBA COUNTY 140 91 79 884 65% 618%
6 4 SAN BENITO COUNTY 31 29 61 945 97% 510%
7 -4 MERCED COUNTY 546 391 249 991 16% 759%
8 0 SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY 3848 1896 1919 1,038 46% 653%
9 0 SOLANO COUNTY 618 446 390 1,084 55% 370%
10 2 CONTRA COSTA COUNTY 1525 969 814 1,265 55% 399%
11 2 KERN COUNTY 1169 730 607 1,285 53% 467%
12 2 MADERA COUNTY 214 132 105 1,375 88% 3400%
13 4 PLACER COUNTY 394 268 227 1,394 106% 320%
14 1 SUTTER COUNTY 116 90 61 1,499 74% 369%
15 3 MONTEREY COUNTY 446 256 242 1,756 69% 952%
16 4 YOLO COUNTY 131 99 105 1,813 78% 600%
17 -1 SAN DIEGO COUNTY 3282 1834 1612 1,902 47% 343%
18 5 VENTURA COUNTY 686 410 390 2,096 78% 509%
19 3 IMPERIAL COUNTY 206 90 79 2,109 58% 618%
20 -1 FRESNO COUNTY 810 523 420 2,142 40% 453%
21 7 SONOMA COUNTY 415 278 210 2,285 86% 577%
22 -11 LAKE COUNTY ND ND 28 2,289 -18% 40%
23 2 EL DORADO COUNTY 183 91 71 2,482 65% 154%
24 5 SANTA BARBARA COUNTY 305 175 166 2,540 71% 453%
25 -1 ALAMEDA COUNTY 1168 743 563 2,667 53% 398%
26 15 PLUMAS COUNTY 5 4 8 2,681 167% 300%
27 3 TULARE COUNTY 363 201 151 2,786 64% 331%
28 7 COLUSA COUNTY 19 9 7 3,073 75% 600%
29 2 ORANGE COUNTY 2247 1138 974 3,154 51% 505%
30 -3 AMADOR COUNTY 26 12 12 3,178 33% 300%
31 -5 SHASTA COUNTY 128 85 57 3,184 30% 159%
32 0 LOS ANGELES COUNTY 7814 4193 3201 3,201 50% 446%
33 1 TUOLUMNE COUNTY 27 25 18 3,235 64% 260%
34 4 SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY 144 79 71 3,708 82% 407%
35 1 NAPA COUNTY 100 80 36 3,735 57% 227%
36 -3 NEVADA COUNTY 67 37 25 4,003 25% 92%
37 6 KINGS COUNTY 80 56 36 4,104 89% 350%
38 2 BUTTE COUNTY 52 33 52 4,177 68% 420%
39 -2 SANTA CRUZ COUNTY 128 61 58 4,523 32% 427%
40 -1 SANTA CLARA COUNTY 1000 486 375 4,729 44% 451%
41 9 SISKIYOU COUNTY 40 11 8 5,768 167% 700%
42 4 SAN MATEO COUNTY 244 146 121 5,984 89% 317%
43 1 MARIPOSA COUNTY 7 1 3 6,072 50% ND
44 -23 TEHAMA COUNTY ND ND 10 6,153 -47% 233%
45 2 MARIN COUNTY 108 50 39 6,496 105% 333%
46 -1 MENDOCINO COUNTY 33 16 13 6,957 44% 550%
47 11 LASSEN COUNTY ND ND 5 7,090 ND 150%
48 -6 DEL NORTE COUNTY 1 1 4 7,299 0% ND
49 5 HUMBOLDT COUNTY 39 12 14 9,466 367% 367%
50 -48 MODOC COUNTY 9 2 1 9,836 -89% -80%
51 1 SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY 166 72 58 13,770 76% 205%

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CALIFORNIA FORECLOSURE REPORT METHODOLOGY
Rankings are based on population per foreclosure sale. NDF indicates the number of Notices of Default that were filed at the county, and NTS indicates filed Notices of Trustee Sale. Sales indicates the number of properties sold at foreclosure auction. Percentage changes are based on monthly Sales. The data presented by ForeclosureRadar is based on county records and individual sales results from daily foreclosure auctions throughout the state—not estimates or projections.

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