California Foreclosure Declines a Welcome Break

Foreclosures Drop In February

Discovery Bay, CA, March 19, 2008 - ForeclosureRadar, the only website that tracks every California foreclosure with daily auction updates, today issued its monthly California Foreclosure Report. Statewide foreclosure rates declined in February, even on a daily average basis. Foreclosure sales at auction declined 15 percent to 16,931 sales with a combined loan value of $6.85 Billion. Notices of Defaults, the first step in the foreclosure process, were down 7.6 percent to 37,362. There were 18,636 Notices of Trustee Sale, which set the auction date and time, down 20 percent from January. Despite the declines the numbers are significantly higher than Q4'07 averages, - defaults higher by 26 percent, and foreclosure sales higher by 36 percent.

"February declines are a welcome break from the astonishing increases in December, 2007 and January, 2008" said Sean O'Toole, founder of ForeclosureRadar. "Unfortunately, those increases and the continued withdrawal of lending options point to more trouble ahead. Based on current activity levels, we still do not expect foreclosures to peak earlier than the third or fourth quarter of 2008."

Lenders continue to take back 98 percent of foreclosures at auction, despite offering substantial discounts. A year ago opening bids were discounted 30 percent or more on just 3 percent of sales. Today, 77 percent of sales are discounted an average of 19 percent and 31 percent are discounted 30 percent or more.

Of the foreclosed loans for which ForeclosureRadar has determined loan position, 98 percent were first mortgages with the majority of those properties having their second mortgage wiped out at sale. The majority of foreclosed loans were originated in 2006 (46 percent), followed closely by 2005 (36 percent), and for the first time 2007 (10 percent) which overtook 2004 (5 percent).

At the county level, the majority of large counties saw overall foreclosure declines, while a number of smaller inland counties saw continued increases despite the overall decline.

March 08 Foreclosure Report
ForeclosureRadar February Report by County
Rank Change In Rank County NDF NTS Sales Population
Per Sale
% Change
Jan 2008
% Change
Feb 2007
1 0 SAN JOAQUIN COUNTY 1618 1076 940 709 -6% 431%
2 5 MERCED COUNTY 555 362 316 781 27% 485%
3 2 YUBA COUNTY 118 90 84 831 6% 282%
4 -1 STANISLAUS COUNTY 1133 758 611 842 -2% 441%
5 -3 RIVERSIDE COUNTY 4720 1904 2159 905 -23% 288%
6 -2 SACRAMENTO COUNTY 2488 1705 1392 995 -14% 235%
7 43 MODOC COUNTY 9 11 9 1,093 800% 800%
8 1 SOLANO COUNTY 658 479 379 1,116 -3% 341%
9 1 CONTRA COSTA COUNTY 1513 1045 814 1,265 0% 357%
10 42 CALAVERAS COUNTY 40 29 36 1,270 3500% ND
11 -3 SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY 3650 1443 1568 1,270 -18% 352%
12 0 MADERA COUNTY 211 124 112 1,289 7% 11100%
13 1 SUTTER COUNTY 98 85 70 1,306 15% 218%
14 -3 KERN COUNTY 1120 745 592 1,317 -2% 402%
15 -9 SAN BENITO COUNTY 58 26 42 1,372 -31% 250%
16 -3 PLACER COUNTY 388 230 198 1,599 -13% 383%
17 2 IMPERIAL COUNTY 246 136 100 1,666 27% 1011%
18 -3 MONTEREY COUNTY 501 308 226 1,880 -7% 528%
19 3 LAKE COUNTY ND ND 33 1,943 18% 230%
20 0 FRESNO COUNTY 842 530 430 2,092 2% 394%
21 0 SONOMA COUNTY 478 263 229 2,096 9% 616%
22 -6 YOLO COUNTY 150 105 82 2,321 -22% 356%
23 0 EL DORADO COUNTY 150 94 75 2,349 6% 188%
24 4 COLUSA COUNTY 27 16 9 2,390 29% ND
25 -8 SAN DIEGO COUNTY 3145 1228 1275 2,405 -21% 181%
26 9 NAPA COUNTY 106 64 53 2,537 47% 382%
27 17 TEHAMA COUNTY 52 23 21 2,930 110% 200%
28 9 KINGS COUNTY 81 52 50 2,955 39% 614%
29 -2 TULARE COUNTY 327 231 139 3,026 -8% 286%
30 -5 ALAMEDA COUNTY 1229 747 487 3,083 -13% 201%
31 -13 VENTURA COUNTY 747 271 260 3,144 -33% 247%
32 -1 SHASTA COUNTY 125 72 53 3,424 -7% 104%
33 -9 SANTA BARBARA COUNTY 276 112 109 3,868 -34% 252%
34 -5 ORANGE COUNTY 2157 735 759 4,048 -22% 341%
35 -3 LOS ANGELES COUNTY 7207 2852 2496 4,105 -22% 275%
36 -6 AMADOR COUNTY 40 15 9 4,237 -25% 29%
37 -11 PLUMAS COUNTY 5 2 5 4,289 -38% 150%
38 -4 SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY 142 77 60 4,387 -15% 200%
39 -6 TUOLUMNE COUNTY 35 24 13 4,479 -28% 160%
40 -4 NEVADA COUNTY 64 34 22 4,548 -12% 175%
41 -2 SANTA CRUZ COUNTY 162 83 54 4,858 -7% 350%
42 -2 SANTA CLARA COUNTY 1114 534 351 5,052 -6% 448%
43 -5 BUTTE COUNTY 9 ND 35 6,206 -33% 84%
44 3 LASSEN COUNTY ND ND 5 7,090 0% 150%
45 -4 SISKIYOU COUNTY 18 9 6 7,691 -25% ND
46 3 HUMBOLDT COUNTY 36 20 17 7,796 21% 325%
47 -5 SAN MATEO COUNTY 300 128 81 8,940 -33% 224%
48 -2 MENDOCINO COUNTY 31 14 10 9,045 -23% 400%
49 -4 MARIN COUNTY 94 43 21 12,064 -46% 110%
50 6 GLENN COUNTY ND ND 2 14,326 ND 100%
51 -8 MARIPOSA COUNTY ND ND 1 18,216 -67% ND
52 -1 SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY 139 73 31 25,764 -47% 107%

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CALIFORNIA FORECLOSURE REPORT METHODOLOGY
Rankings are based on population per foreclosure sale. NDF indicates the number of Notices of Default that were filed at the county, and NTS indicates filed Notices of Trustee Sale. Sales indicates the number of properties sold at foreclosure auction. Percentage changes are based on monthly Sales. The data presented by ForeclosureRadar is based on county records and individual sales results from daily foreclosure auctions throughout the state—not estimates or projections.

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