Foreclosure Activity Back Up as Stalemate Continues

Despite apparent declines daily foreclosure activity is up on all fronts

Discovery Bay, CA, February 16, 2010 - ForeclosureRadar (www.foreclosureradar.com), the only website that tracks every California foreclosure and provides daily auction updates, issued its monthly California Foreclosure Report for for January 2010. With hundreds of thousands of California homeowners in foreclosure a stalemate continues as only a small percentage reach the end of the process through cancellation or sale and the time to foreclose increases. Once again the raw numbers fail to tell the story on foreclosure activity due to the difference in number of business days in January (19) vs. December (22). On a daily average basis foreclosure activity increased on all fronts.

“With delinquent payments rising, foreclosures slowing, and foreclosure alternatives failing,” says Sean O’Toole, Founder and CEO of ForeclosureRadar.com, “it appears the foreclosure crisis will be with us for many years to come”.

Foreclosure Filings

Notice of Default

Prior Month Prior Year
-5.38% -36.58%

Notice of Trustee Sale

Prior Month Prior Year
-4.74% 8.98%

After significant declines in December, Foreclosure Filings were slightly lower overall in January. With only 19 days that notices could be recorded in January, compared to 22 in December, foreclosure notice filings actually increased on a daily average basis with Notice of Default filings increasing by 9.5 percent from December, and Notice of Trustee Sale filings increasing by 10.3 percent.

1001 Foreclosure Filings
8-Aug 8-Sep 8-Oct 8-Nov 8-Dec 9-Jan 9-Feb 9-Mar 9-Apr 9-May 9-Jun 9-Jul 9-Aug 9-Sep 9-Oct 9-Nov 9-Dec 10-Jan
43504 16746 17361 21857 43974 40580 49799 58623 47337 42203 47093 47530 37063 38175 36534 30478 27200 25737
37329 19674 26402 28468 28449 24890 21147 34559 31556 43355 30711 40757 34224 33112 38558 28170 28475 27125

Foreclosure Outcomes

Back to Bank (REO)

Prior Month Prior Year
11.72% -4.20%

Cancellations

Prior Month Prior Year
4.32% 106.24%

Sold to 3rd Party

Prior Month Prior Year
40.55% 312.991%

Like filings above, Foreclosure Outcomes also dramatically reversed course from the prior month. With significant increases in all outcomes, especially on a daily average basis, the number of foreclosures that went Back to Bank rose 29.4 percent, Sold to 3rd rose by 62.7 percent, and Cancellations by 20.8 percent. While these increases were significant, a smaller percentage of foreclosures Scheduled for Sale completed the process in January 2010 (21 percent), than a year earlier (31 percent).

1001 Foreclosure Outcomes
8-Aug 8-Sep 8-Oct 8-Nov 8-Dec 9-Jan 9-Feb 9-Mar 9-Apr 9-May 9-Jun 9-Jul 9-Aug 9-Sep 9-Oct 9-Nov 9-Dec 10-Jan
25381 22112 13296 15267 15608 14533 16419 9201 12145 15864 19713 14632 14367 13155 16081 14143 12461 13922
5694 6368 11281 8302 6445 6717 6904 6352 6707 7162 8674 10818 10004 8660 8741 10481 13279 13853
1069 1076 825 952 833 893 1266 1094 1653 2305 2694 2691 3285 3411 3971 3677 2624 3688

Foreclosure Inventories

Preforeclosure

Prior Month Prior Year
3.55% 16.55%

Scheduled for Sale

Prior Month Prior Year
-1.08% 110.42%

Bank Owned (REO)

Prior Month Prior Year
2.57% -33.44%

The total number of properties in the foreclosure process remain near record levels in California despite declines in new Notice of Default filings over the last year, largely due to the increase in the time it is taking banks to foreclose, which we cover in a new measure, Time to Foreclose, in this months report. Once Bank Owned (REO) properties are listed for sale they continue to sell quickly, leaving banks with lower than expected inventories.

*Note that we have altered our methodology for calculating Preforeclosure Inventories from introducing it last month.

1001 Foreclosure Inventories
8-Aug 8-Sep 8-Oct 8-Nov 8-Dec 9-Jan 9-Feb 9-Mar 9-Apr 9-May 9-Jun 9-Jul 9-Aug 9-Sep 9-Oct 9-Nov 9-Dec 10-Jan
151596 122266 114067 96534 112078 130550 159215 179412 185603 174243 186060 175283 171841 169860 154905 157288 146941 152155
69428 59226 59695 64237 67841 69374 64177 82390 92002 111824 113141 124874 131300 140382 149456 151573 147570 145977
153896 156804 148814 147090 141176 137331 135488 122901 112792 107762 106139 100206 98829 95479 93926 93595 89119 91407

Foreclosure Discounting

1001 Foreclosure Discounting

While sales to 3rd Parties increased in January, the average discount on trustee sale purchases narrowed. The average discount 3rd Parties received from market value dropped from 18.6 percent in December to 17.5 percent in January. Banks are not discounting opening (or drop) bids at auction as aggressively as in the past and investors are reporting increased competition at the auctions, resulting in higher bid amounts.


Time to Foreclosure

Prior Month Prior Year
3.31% 19.61%

Time to Resell - Bank

Prior Month Prior Year
0.00% 2.75%

Time to Resell - 3rd Party

Prior Month Prior Year
5.67% -22.80%

Foreclosure Timeframes

Despite prices now well below 2004 levels in many areas, loans made in 2004 and earlier remain a very small percentage of foreclosures.

1001 Foreclosure Timeframes
8-Aug 8-Sep 8-Oct 8-Nov 8-Dec 9-Jan 9-Feb 9-Mar 9-Apr 9-May 9-Jun 9-Jul 9-Aug 9-Sep 9-Oct 9-Nov 9-Dec 10-Jan
146 150 169 163 165 192 198 176 171 180 173 187 185 191 195 198 222 229
191 190 192 195 206 218 223 231 234 240 244 238 228 220 219 220 224 224
189 192 171 178 187 193 186 214 196 183 168 146 147 141 131 133 141 149

Foreclosure Activity By County

  Notice of Default Notice of Trustee Sale Back to Bank (REO) Sold to
3rd Party
1001 Foreclosure Activity By County

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