Short sales and loan modifications are not the only explanation
Discovery Bay, CA, May 11, 2010 - ForeclosureRadar (www.foreclosureradar.com), the only website that tracks every California foreclosure and provides daily auction updates, issued its monthly California Foreclosure Report for for April 2010. Foreclosure filings were down in April for the first time since the
beginning of the year. Despite the decline in filings, the inventory of properties in preforeclosure or
scheduled for sale only dipped slightly as the drop in filings were offset by an increase in the time to
foreclose. Cancellations continue to climb, up more than 32 percent from the beginning of the year. The
number of properties sold to 3rd parties also continues to climb, helped again this month by slightly better
discounts.
"The steady rise in cancellations leads us to believe that loan modifications and short sales are gaining
traction" says Sean O'Toole, Founder and CEO of ForeclosureRadar.com. "I'd caution, however, that
cancellations also occur due to filing errors and extended postponements, which require the Notice of
Trustee Sale to be re-filed. In fact, 14.6 percent of new Notice of Trustee filings in April were on previously
cancelled foreclosures."
Foreclosure Filings
Notice of Default |
| Prior Month |
Prior Year |
| -16.01% |
-41.20% |
Notice of Trustee Sale |
| Prior Month |
Prior Year |
| -10.25% |
-3.10% |
Notice of Default filings are the first step in the foreclosure process. Notice of Trustee Sale filings set the date and time of auction and serve as the homeowner's final notice before sale.
| 8-Nov |
8-Dec |
9-Jan |
9-Feb |
9-Mar |
9-Apr |
9-May |
9-Jun |
9-Jul |
9-Aug |
9-Sep |
9-Oct |
9-Nov |
9-Dec |
10-Jan |
10-Feb |
10-Mar |
10-Apr |
| 21857 | 43974 | 40580 | 49799 | 58623 | 47337 | 42203 | 47093 | 47530 | 37063 | 38175 | 36534 | 30478 | 27200 | 25904 | 31309 | 33139 | 27832 |
| 28468 | 28449 | 24890 | 21147 | 34559 | 31556 | 43355 | 30711 | 40757 | 34224 | 33112 | 38558 | 28170 | 28475 | 27220 | 28501 | 34071 | 30578 |
Foreclosure Outcomes
Back to Bank (REO) |
| Prior Month |
Prior Year |
| -5.52% |
19.53% |
Cancellations |
| Prior Month |
Prior Year |
| 11.39% |
174.37% |
Sold to 3rd Party |
| Prior Month |
Prior Year |
| 6.05% |
158.62% |
After the filing of a Notice of Trustee Sale, there are only three possible outcomes. First, the sale can be
Cancelled for reasons that include a successful loan modification or short sale, a filing error, or a legal
requirement to re-file the notice after extended postponements. Alternatively, if the property is taken to sale,
the Bank will place the opening bid. If a 3rd party, typically an investor, bids more than the bank's opening
bid, the property will be Sold to 3rd Party; if not, it will go Back to Bank and become part of that bank's REO
inventory.
| 8-Nov |
8-Dec |
9-Jan |
9-Feb |
9-Mar |
9-Apr |
9-May |
9-Jun |
9-Jul |
9-Aug |
9-Sep |
9-Oct |
9-Nov |
9-Dec |
10-Jan |
10-Feb |
10-Mar |
10-Apr |
| 15267 | 15608 | 14533 | 16419 | 9201 | 12145 | 15864 | 19713 | 14632 | 14367 | 13155 | 16018 | 14165 | 12471 | 13943 | 11983 | 15365 | 14517 |
| 8302 | 6445 | 6717 | 6904 | 6352 | 6707 | 7162 | 8674 | 10818 | 10004 | 8660 | 8757 | 10487 | 13287 | 13859 | 13806 | 16520 | 18402 |
| 952 | 833 | 893 | 1266 | 1094 | 1653 | 2305 | 2694 | 2691 | 3285 | 3411 | 3960 | 3683 | 2629 | 3707 | 3631 | 4031 | 4275 |
Foreclosure Inventories
Preforeclosure |
| Prior Month |
Prior Year |
| -3.17% |
-17.69% |
Scheduled for Sale |
| Prior Month |
Prior Year |
| -2.77% |
49.72% |
Bank Owned (REO) |
| Prior Month |
Prior Year |
| 0.26% |
-19.95% |
Preforeclosure inventory is an estimate of the number of properties that have had a Notice of Default filed
against the property, but have not yet been Scheduled for Sale. The Scheduled for Sale inventory indicates
those properties that have had a Notice of Trustee Sale filed, but have not yet been sold or had the sale
cancelled. The Bank Owned (REO) inventory indicates the number of properties that have been sold Back to
Bank at the trustee sale, and which the bank has not yet resold to another party.
| 8-Nov |
8-Dec |
9-Jan |
9-Feb |
9-Mar |
9-Apr |
9-May |
9-Jun |
9-Jul |
9-Aug |
9-Sep |
9-Oct |
9-Nov |
9-Dec |
10-Jan |
10-Feb |
10-Mar |
10-Apr |
| 96534 | 112078 | 130550 | 159215 | 179412 | 185603 | 174243 | 186060 | 175283 | 171841 | 169860 | 154905 | 157288 | 146941 | 152322 | 140126 | 157768 | 152770 |
| 64237 | 67841 | 69374 | 64177 | 82390 | 92002 | 111824 | 113141 | 124874 | 131300 | 140382 | 149456 | 151573 | 147570 | 145977 | 145260 | 141669 | 137741 |
| 147090 | 141176 | 137331 | 135488 | 122901 | 112792 | 107762 | 106139 | 100206 | 98829 | 95479 | 93926 | 93595 | 89119 | 90551 | 89529 | 90065 | 90295 |
Foreclosure Discounting
Foreclosure discounting compares the winning Bid Amount of properties sold at trustee sale to both the
outstanding Loan Amount, and the current Market Value. Banks place an opening bid for each property, and
if a 3rd Party does not make a higher bid the property will be sold Back to Bank (REO) for the opening bid
amount. While 3rd Party bids are higher than the opening bid, properties Sold to 3rd Parties typically have
lower opening bids to start with and therefore deeper discounts to both Loan Amount and Market Value.
Foreclosure Timeframes
Time to Foreclosure |
| Prior Month |
Prior Year |
| 6.22% |
40.07% |
Time to Resell - Bank |
| Prior Month |
Prior Year |
| 6.47% |
5.56% |
Time to Resell - 3rd |
| Prior Month |
Prior Year |
| 5.88% |
-17.35% |
Time to Foreclose is the total time from the filing of the Notice of Default to the sale of the property at
trustee sale, and reflects those properties sold in the month indicated. Time to Resell reflects how long it
takes banks and 3rd parties to resell the properties they take back or purchase at trustee sale.
| 8-Nov |
8-Dec |
9-Jan |
9-Feb |
9-Mar |
9-Apr |
9-May |
9-Jun |
9-Jul |
9-Aug |
9-Sep |
9-Oct |
9-Nov |
9-Dec |
10-Jan |
10-Feb |
10-Mar |
10-Apr |
| 163 | 165 | 192 | 198 | 176 | 171 | 180 | 173 | 187 | 185 | 191 | 195 | 198 | 222 | 229 | 224 | 225 | 239 |
| 195 | 206 | 218 | 223 | 231 | 234 | 240 | 244 | 238 | 228 | 220 | 219 | 220 | 224 | 224 | 224 | 232 | 247 |
| 178 | 187 | 193 | 186 | 214 | 196 | 183 | 168 | 146 | 147 | 141 | 131 | 133 | 141 | 149 | 150 | 153 | 162 |
Foreclosure Activity By County
| |
Notice of Default |
Notice of Trustee Sale |
Back to Bank (REO) |
Sold to 3rd Party |
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